California
W-L: (29-24) PR = 95.1348Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 2-13 214 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 5- 4 214 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 4- 3 216 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 4-10 220 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 3- 8 221 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 11- 2 222 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 4- 2 225 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 7- 2 227 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 5- 4 228 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 8- 2 301 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 3- 2 305 A Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 15- 2 306 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 11- 5 307 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 9- 1 307 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 15- 9 308 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 5- 2 310 A San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 2- 3 313 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 1- 8 314 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2- 6 315 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2-10 317 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 3- 3 320 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 3- 4 321 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 6- 8 322 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 2- 3 328 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1- 4 329 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 5- 3 402 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 2-17 403 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 2- 7 404 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 3- 9 406 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 8- 0 410 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 12- 8 411 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 14- 6 412 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 13- 2 415 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 7-10 417 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 8- 5 418 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 6- 5 419 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 5- 8 422 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 4- 3 424 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 9- 2 425 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 3- 4 426 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 1- 4 428 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 6- 5 429 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 1- 6 501 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 1- 9 502 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 2- 6 503 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 9- 4 505 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 2- 1 508 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 7- 4 509 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 1- 2 510 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 8- 7 514 A McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 6-11 515 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 4- 3 516 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 2- 1 519 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 4-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Santa Clara 2-13 -11 2 --- -13.42
214 H Santa Clara 5- 4 1 2 -1.42
214 H Santa Clara 4- 3 1 2 -1.42
216 A Santa Clara 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.07
220 H San Diego 3- 8 -5 3 --- -8.21
221 A UC Irvine 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.87
222 A UC Irvine 4- 2 2 0 1.87
225 A UC Davis 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.39
227 H Sacramento State 5- 4 1 1 0.06
228 A Sacramento State 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.41
301 H Sacramento State 3- 2 1 1 0.06
305 A Hofstra 15- 2 13 2 +++ 11.00
306 A Cal State Fullerton 11- 5 6 1 ++ 5.25
307 H San Diego 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.79
307 H San Diego 15- 9 6 3 + 2.79
308 H San Diego 5- 2 3 3 -0.21
310 A San José State 2- 3 -1 0 -1.08
313 H North Carolina 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.01
314 H North Carolina 2- 6 -4 -3 -1.01
315 H North Carolina 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.01
317 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 3 0 1 -0.75
320 A Boston College 3- 4 -1 -1 0.40
321 H Seton Hall 6- 8 -2 5 --- -7.35
322 A Boston College 2- 3 -1 -1 0.40
328 A Wake Forest 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.19
329 A Wake Forest 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.81
402 H Georgia Tech 2-17 -15 -4 --- -9.91
403 H Georgia Tech 2- 7 -5 -4 -0.91
404 H Georgia Tech 3- 9 -6 -4 -1.91
406 A San Francisco 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.53
410 H Xavier 12- 8 4 2 1.78
411 A Pittsburgh 14- 6 8 -2 +++ 9.91
412 A Pittsburgh 13- 2 11 -2 +++ 12.91
415 H San José State 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.43
417 H Louisville 8- 5 3 0 + 3.39
418 H Louisville 6- 5 1 0 1.39
419 H Louisville 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.61
422 H San Francisco 4- 3 1 5 - -3.82
424 A Miami of Florida 9- 2 7 -1 +++ 8.19
425 A Miami of Florida 3- 4 -1 -1 0.19
426 A Miami of Florida 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.81
428 A Saint Mary's 6- 5 1 0 1.11
429 H UC Davis 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.96
501 H Virginia Tech 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.52
502 H Virginia Tech 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.52
503 H Virginia Tech 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.48
505 A Pacific 2- 1 1 2 -1.05
508 A Virginia 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.64
509 A Virginia 1- 2 -1 -2 0.64
510 A Virginia 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.64
514 A McNeese 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.17
515 A USC 4- 3 1 -3 ++ 4.03
516 H Stanford 2- 1 1 1 -0.25
519 A Stanford 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.90
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Santa Clara 2-13 -11 2 --- -13.42 216 A Santa Clara 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.07 220 H San Diego 3- 8 -5 3 --- -8.21 321 H Seton Hall 6- 8 -2 5 --- -7.35 402 H Georgia Tech 2-17 -15 -4 --- -9.91 429 H UC Davis 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.96 501 H Virginia Tech 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.52 514 A McNeese 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.17 519 A Stanford 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.90 313 H North Carolina 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.01 315 H North Carolina 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.01 415 H San José State 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.43 502 H Virginia Tech 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.52 419 H Louisville 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.61 422 H San Francisco 4- 3 1 5 - -3.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A UC Irvine 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.87 228 A Sacramento State 8- 2 6 0 +++ 6.41 305 A Hofstra 15- 2 13 2 +++ 11.00 411 A Pittsburgh 14- 6 8 -2 +++ 9.91 412 A Pittsburgh 13- 2 11 -2 +++ 12.91 424 A Miami of Florida 9- 2 7 -1 +++ 8.19 225 A UC Davis 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.39 306 A Cal State Fullerton 11- 5 6 1 ++ 5.25 307 H San Diego 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.79 329 A Wake Forest 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.81 406 A San Francisco 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.53 503 H Virginia Tech 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.48 508 A Virginia 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.64 515 A USC 4- 3 1 -3 ++ 4.03 307 H San Diego 15- 9 6 3 + 2.79 417 H Louisville 8- 5 3 0 + 3.39 510 A Virginia 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.64 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 2-13 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.54 -1.92
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 5- 4 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.54 12.04
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 4- 3 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.54 12.04
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 4-10 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.54 -1.56
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 3- 8 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.54 -2.14
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 11- 2 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.54 14.49
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 4- 2 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.54 14.49
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 7- 2 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.54 13.98
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 5- 4 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.54 13.62
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 8- 2 -5.03 13.39 0.68 0.54 15.07
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 3- 2 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.54 13.62
3 A Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 15- 2 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 12.49
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 11- 5 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.54 13.83
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 9- 1 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.54 11.19
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 15- 9 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.54 11.19
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 5- 2 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.54 11.19
3 A San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 2- 3 -5.52 12.91 0.68 0.54 -1.30
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 1- 8 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.54 -0.48
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 2- 6 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.54 -0.48
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 2-10 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.54 -0.48
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 3- 3 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.54 0.00
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 3- 4 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.54 -0.90
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 6- 8 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.54 -2.71
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 2- 3 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.54 -0.90
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1- 4 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.54 -0.52
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 5- 3 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.54 17.64
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 2-17 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.54 -0.18
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 2- 7 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.54 -0.18
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 3- 9 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.54 -0.18
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 8- 0 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.54 10.92
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 12- 8 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.54 12.26
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 14- 6 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.54 16.67
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 13- 2 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.54 16.67
3 H San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 7-10 -5.52 12.91 -0.68 0.54 -1.66
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 8- 5 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.54 15.05
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 6- 5 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.54 15.05
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 5- 8 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.54 -1.17
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 4- 3 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.54 9.47
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 9- 2 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.54 15.90
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 3- 4 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.54 -0.96
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 1- 4 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.54 -0.96
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 6- 5 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.54 14.75
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 1- 6 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.54 -1.80
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 1- 9 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.54 -1.41
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 2- 6 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.54 -1.41
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 9- 4 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.54 14.08
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 2- 1 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.54 12.43
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 7- 4 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.54 16.39
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 1- 2 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.54 -0.84
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 8- 7 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.54 16.39
3 A McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 6-11 -6.61 11.82 0.68 0.54 -1.59
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 4- 3 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.54 17.88
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 2- 1 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.54 13.29
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 4-11 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.54 -1.25
------
377.15
|
winning pts = 404.1251 losing points = -26.9739
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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